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RB GRADE RECEIPT

Ashton Jeanty

Las Vegas Raiders / RB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING57.2C-
POSITION RANK#32of 32 rated RBs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form54.0
Player-created value56.4
Next-season projection62.1
Production forecast57.2
Position-relative forecast grade57.2

Model receipt

RB production uses EPA per touch, first-down rate, workload, RYOE, contact balance, scoring, and lost-fumble rate.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Total EPA Per Touch-0.240
10th percentile
First Down Rate17.8
14th percentile
Touches Per Game18.9
78th percentile
Ryoe Per Attempt-0.195
20th percentile
Yards After Contact Per Attempt2.090
62nd percentile
Total TD Rate3.115
45th percentile
Turnover Rate0.312
54th percentile
54.5 season score321 qualifying plays