RB GRADE RECEIPT

Aaron Jones Sr.

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING68.0C+

POSITION RANK#28of 32 rated RBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form67.0

Player-created value67.9

Next-season projection68.8

Production forecast68.0

Position-relative forecast grade68.0

RB production uses EPA per touch, first-down rate, workload, RYOE, contact balance, scoring, and lost-fumble rate.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Total EPA Per Touch-0.062

32nd percentile

First Down Rate23.1

39th percentile

Touches Per Game13.3

36th percentile

Ryoe Per Attempt-0.118

32nd percentile

Yards After Contact Per Attempt1.773

36th percentile

Total TD Rate1.875

35th percentile

Turnover Rate0.625

44th percentile

59.4 season score160 qualifying plays