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TE GRADE RECEIPT

Tyler Warren

Indianapolis Colts / TE / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING75.0B-
POSITION RANK#18of 32 rated TEs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastvalidated two-season forecast
Current form75.0
Player-created value75.0
Next-season projection75.0
Production forecast75.0
Position-relative forecast grade75.0

Model receipt

TE production measures receiving value and opportunity; public data does not isolate individual blocking quality.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated two-season forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.141
31st percentile
First Down Rate37.5
51st percentile
Targets Per Game6.588
79th percentile
Yac Above Expectation0.619
57th percentile
Drop Pct1.800
65th percentile
Air Yards Share14.4
52nd percentile
Avg Separation3.310
49th percentile
Snap Pct83.8
58th percentile
75.0 season score112 qualifying plays