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TE GRADE RECEIPT

Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs / TE / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING84.4A-
POSITION RANK#6of 32 rated TEs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Quality starter forecastvalidated two-season forecast
Current form84.0
Player-created value84.4
Next-season projection81.6
Production forecast81.6
Position-relative forecast grade84.4

Model receipt

TE production measures receiving value and opportunity; public data does not isolate individual blocking quality.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated two-season forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.374
63rd percentile
First Down Rate42.6
61st percentile
Targets Per Game6.353
76th percentile
Yac Above Expectation0.427
54th percentile
Drop Pct6.500
38th percentile
Air Yards Share16.6
71st percentile
Avg Separation3.211
40th percentile
Snap Pct81.9
57th percentile
87.2 season score108 qualifying plays