TE GRADE RECEIPT

Dalton Kincaid

Buffalo Bills / TE / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING79.5B

POSITION RANK#11of 32 rated TEs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastvalidated two-season forecast

Current form75.0

Player-created value79.5

Next-season projection78.1

Production forecast78.1

Position-relative forecast grade79.5

TE production measures receiving value and opportunity; public data does not isolate individual blocking quality.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated two-season forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.804

71st percentile

First Down Rate55.1

60th percentile

Targets Per Game4.083

20th percentile

Yac Above Expectation1.024

66th percentile

Drop Pct2

56th percentile

Air Yards Share13

44th percentile

Avg Separation3.421

52nd percentile

Snap Pct38.7

41st percentile

81.2 season score49 qualifying plays