TE GRADE RECEIPT

T.J. Hockenson

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING65.6C

POSITION RANK#27of 32 rated TEs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastvalidated two-season forecast

Current form71.0

Player-created value65.6

Next-season projection68.4

Production forecast68.4

Position-relative forecast grade65.6

TE production measures receiving value and opportunity; public data does not isolate individual blocking quality.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated two-season forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.214

49th percentile

First Down Rate33.3

43rd percentile

Targets Per Game4.400

19th percentile

Yac Above Expectation-0.148

38th percentile

Drop Pct4.500

49th percentile

Air Yards Share8.307

26th percentile

Avg Separation3.755

64th percentile

Snap Pct77.9

51st percentile

63.0 season score66 qualifying plays