TE GRADE RECEIPT

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING77.2B

POSITION RANK#13of 32 rated TEs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastvalidated two-season forecast

Current form74.0

Player-created value77.2

Next-season projection76.5

Production forecast76.5

Position-relative forecast grade77.2

TE production measures receiving value and opportunity; public data does not isolate individual blocking quality.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated two-season forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.208

45th percentile

First Down Rate43.2

63rd percentile

Targets Per Game6.941

87th percentile

Yac Above Expectation-0.878

15th percentile

Drop Pct1.700

68th percentile

Air Yards Share20.7

86th percentile

Avg Separation3.555

58th percentile

Snap Pct88

65th percentile

82.5 season score118 qualifying plays