TE GRADE RECEIPT

Juwan Johnson

New Orleans Saints / TE / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING77.0B

POSITION RANK#15of 32 rated TEs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastvalidated two-season forecast

Current form71.0

Player-created value77.0

Next-season projection76.4

Production forecast76.4

Position-relative forecast grade77.0

Model receipt

TE production measures receiving value and opportunity; public data does not isolate individual blocking quality.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the validated two-season forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.345

57th percentile

First Down Rate40.2

54th percentile

Targets Per Game6

63rd percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.089

40th percentile

Drop Pct5.900

43rd percentile

Air Yards Share16.1

61st percentile

Avg Separation3.649

63rd percentile

Snap Pct75

45th percentile

79.4 season score102 qualifying plays