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TE GRADE RECEIPT

Dalton Schultz

Houston Texans / TE / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING74.1B-
POSITION RANK#20of 32 rated TEs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastvalidated two-season forecast
Current form73.0
Player-created value74.1
Next-season projection74.4
Production forecast74.4
Position-relative forecast grade74.1

Model receipt

TE production measures receiving value and opportunity; public data does not isolate individual blocking quality.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated two-season forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.346
60th percentile
First Down Rate36.8
48th percentile
Targets Per Game6.235
68th percentile
Yac Above Expectation0.102
43rd percentile
Drop Pct1.900
62nd percentile
Air Yards Share14.6
55th percentile
Avg Separation3.768
72nd percentile
Snap Pct68.6
44th percentile
80.9 season score106 qualifying plays