NFSMELL Open app
TE GRADE RECEIPT

Cade Otton

Tampa Bay Buccaneers / TE / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING66.6C
POSITION RANK#25of 32 rated TEs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastvalidated two-season forecast
Current form66.0
Player-created value66.6
Next-season projection69.2
Production forecast69.2
Position-relative forecast grade66.6

Model receipt

TE production measures receiving value and opportunity; public data does not isolate individual blocking quality.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated two-season forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.038
27th percentile
First Down Rate30.9
40th percentile
Targets Per Game5.400
50th percentile
Yac Above Expectation0.733
61st percentile
Drop Pct1.200
69th percentile
Air Yards Share8.995
29th percentile
Avg Separation3.501
54th percentile
Snap Pct93.5
63rd percentile
66.2 season score81 qualifying plays