TE GRADE RECEIPT

AJ Barner

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING74.9B-

POSITION RANK#19of 32 rated TEs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastvalidated two-season forecast

Current form74.0

Player-created value74.9

Next-season projection74.9

Production forecast74.9

Position-relative forecast grade74.9

TE production measures receiving value and opportunity; public data does not isolate individual blocking quality.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated two-season forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.411

62nd percentile

First Down Rate38.2

52nd percentile

Targets Per Game4

13th percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.781

64th percentile

Drop Pct2.900

56th percentile

Air Yards Share8.581

28th percentile

Avg Separation4.104

73rd percentile

Snap Pct79

53rd percentile

76.4 season score68 qualifying plays