QB GRADE RECEIPT

Jaxson Dart

New York Giants / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING75.3B-

POSITION RANK#25of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

StarterQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form70.0

Player-created value75.3

Next-season projection78.3

Proven NFL resume75.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

Only the projection component is walk-forward validated. Current form and career resume are descriptive; players within 1.5 points share an overlap range instead of a claimed exact rank.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback0.023

40th percentile

Espn QBR57.5

43rd percentile

Total EPA Per Play0.090

51st percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate42.2

28th percentile

Passing CPOE-0.098

37th percentile

First Down Rate30.4

32nd percentile

Interception Worthy Rate2.667

51st percentile

Catchable Pass Rate67.4

31st percentile

70.0 season score460 qualifying plays