QB GRADE RECEIPT

Lamar Jackson

Baltimore Ravens / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING89.7A

POSITION RANK#3of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

EliteQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form85.0

Player-created value89.7

Next-season projection86.8

Proven NFL resume96.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Postseason evidence is scored separately against regular-season peers and sample-shrunk (2024 10%, 2023 11% of each season score).

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback0.059

51st percentile

Espn QBR62.7

64th percentile

Total EPA Per Play0.096

56th percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate45.8

58th percentile

Passing CPOE1.652

54th percentile

First Down Rate32.8

54th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate1.775

71st percentile

Catchable Pass Rate67.7

38th percentile

80.1 season score405 qualifying plays