89th percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Zach Allen
Denver Broncos / RDE / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING87.2A-
POSITION RANK#18of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Quality starter forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form88.0
Player-created value87.2
Next-season projection84.8
Production forecast84.8
Position-relative forecast grade87.2
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
71st percentile
22nd percentile
10th percentile
25th percentile
36th percentile
83.1 season score888 qualifying plays