NFSMELL Open app
S GRADE RECEIPT

Xavier Watts

Atlanta Falcons / FS / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING83.5B+
POSITION RANK#16of 70 rated Ss
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Quality starter forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form85.0
Player-created value83.8
Next-season projection81.6
Production forecast83.5
Position-relative forecast grade83.5

Model receipt

Safety production balances coverage results, breakups, tackling, pressure, backfield disruption, and missed tackles.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Snap Pct99.1
91st percentile
Tackles Per 100 Snaps8.775
44th percentile
Passer Rating Allowed89.7
61st percentile
Missed Tackle Pct8.571
50th percentile
Pass Breakup Rate19.6
66th percentile
Pressures Per 100 Snaps0.091
24th percentile
Non Sack Tfl Per 100 Snaps0
18th percentile
Forced Fumbles Per 100 Snaps0
37th percentile
84.6 season score1,094 qualifying plays