91st percentile
S GRADE RECEIPT
Xavier Watts
Atlanta Falcons / FS / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING83.5B+
POSITION RANK#16of 70 rated Ss
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Quality starter forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form85.0
Player-created value83.8
Next-season projection81.6
Production forecast83.5
Position-relative forecast grade83.5
Model receipt
Safety production balances coverage results, breakups, tackling, pressure, backfield disruption, and missed tackles.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
44th percentile
61st percentile
50th percentile
66th percentile
24th percentile
18th percentile
37th percentile
84.6 season score1,094 qualifying plays