NFSMELL Open app
DE GRADE RECEIPT

T.J. Watt

Pittsburgh Steelers / LOLB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING90.1A
POSITION RANK#13of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

High-end production forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form91.0
Player-created value90.1
Next-season projection87.1
Production forecast87.1
Position-relative forecast grade90.1

Model receipt

Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Pressures Per 100 Snaps3.125
52nd percentile
Snap Pct82.1
92nd percentile
Non Sack Tfl Per 100 Snaps0.347
57th percentile
Tackles Per 100 Snaps6.366
50th percentile
Missed Tackle Pct8.333
44th percentile
Forced Fumbles Per 100 Snaps0.347
69th percentile
88.0 season score864 qualifying plays