15th percentile
LB GRADE RECEIPT
Patrick Jones II
Carolina Panthers / LOLB / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING56.5C-
POSITION RANK#73of 78 rated LBs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Below starter baselinevalidated one-season baseline
Current form61.0
Player-created value56.5
Next-season projection65.8
Production forecast65.8
Position-relative forecast grade56.5
Model receipt
LB production balances tackling, pressure, non-sack disruption, coverage results, breakups, and missed tackles.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2024, 2023 seasons.
OVR uses the validated one-season baseline because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.
2024 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
15th percentile
40th percentile
82nd percentile
47th percentile
60th percentile
56.5 season score459 qualifying plays