47th percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Nolan Smith Jr.
Philadelphia Eagles / LOLB / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING65.5C
POSITION RANK#77of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Below starter baselinevalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form65.0
Player-created value65.5
Next-season projection67.4
Production forecast67.4
Position-relative forecast grade65.5
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
42nd percentile
31st percentile
53rd percentile
33rd percentile
55th percentile
65.7 season score480 qualifying plays