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P GRADE RECEIPT

Matt Araiza

Kansas City Chiefs / P / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING72.1B-
POSITION RANK#21of 32 rated Ps
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form72.0
Player-created value71.7
Next-season projection73.4
Production forecast72.1
Position-relative forecast grade72.1

Model receipt

Punter production uses net average, gross average, inside-20 rate, touchback rate, and return yards allowed.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

Public metrics for this position showed weak year-to-year validation; treat its ordering as current production, not a stable talent forecast.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Net Avg41.3
46th percentile
Punts Inside 20 Rate44.6
63rd percentile
Gross Avg47.6
51st percentile
Punt Touchback Rate5.357
65th percentile
Punt Return Yards Per Punt5.196
34th percentile
75.6 season score56 qualifying plays