59th percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Lukas Van Ness
Green Bay Packers / LOLB / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING71.4C+
POSITION RANK#63of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Rotation-level forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form69.0
Player-created value71.4
Next-season projection72.1
Production forecast72.1
Position-relative forecast grade71.4
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
27th percentile
57th percentile
45th percentile
71st percentile
44th percentile
75.2 season score310 qualifying plays