90th percentile
S GRADE RECEIPT
Jessie Bates III
Atlanta Falcons / SS / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING90.0A
POSITION RANK#4of 70 rated Ss
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Elite production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form92.0
Player-created value90.8
Next-season projection86.4
Production forecast90.0
Position-relative forecast grade90.0
Model receipt
Safety production balances coverage results, breakups, tackling, pressure, backfield disruption, and missed tackles.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
51st percentile
67th percentile
61st percentile
48th percentile
42nd percentile
28th percentile
60th percentile
89.5 season score1,092 qualifying plays