LB GRADE RECEIPT

Jaylon Carlies

Indianapolis Colts / RILB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING69.9C+

POSITION RANK#48of 78 rated LBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastvalidated one-season baseline

Current form70.0

Player-created value69.9

Next-season projection72.5

Production forecast72.5

Position-relative forecast grade69.9

Model receipt

LB production balances tackling, pressure, non-sack disruption, coverage results, breakups, and missed tackles.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2024 seasons.

OVR uses the validated one-season baseline because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2024 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Tackles Per 100 Snaps14.9

67th percentile

Snap Pct36.8

19th percentile

Passer Rating Allowed124

41st percentile

Missed Tackle Pct5.263

61st percentile

Pressures Per 100 Snaps0.413

40th percentile

Non Sack Tfl Per 100 Snaps0.413

46th percentile

Pass Breakup Rate7.692

50th percentile

Forced Fumbles Per 100 Snaps0

45th percentile

69.9 season score242 qualifying plays