LB GRADE RECEIPT

Devin Bush

Chicago Bears / OFF-BALL LB / Healthy

Models: player-forecast-v41 / player-performance-v18 / team-strength-v39Context: coaching-context-v1 Data updated: October 9, 2026 at 8:29 PM EDTVerify live snapshot Verify release manifest Verify deployment

2026 CURRENTCurrent productionLOW confidence · review state

CURRENT PERFORMANCE78.8PROXY

Separate forecast OVR: 76.7. Team impact: 77.1.

CURRENT PRODUCTION RANK#26 of 62 (current)192 current-season plays; source through week 5. Production does not establish complete assignment quality.

What the evidence supports

This score forecasts statistical production. Assignment-level execution is not established; use it with role and evidence context, not as a definitive best-player ranking.

Context still needed: coverage assignments; gap responsibility; box and blitz opportunity.

SCORE KEY

Current performance comes first

Current grade measures qualifying production recorded this season against position peers, with sample adjustment. It is not complete football ability. Without qualifying current evidence, a clearly labeled forecast estimate remains visible. Defensive assignments and individual blocking require additional evidence.

Current gradeThis season's observed production

Recent productionOpponent and sample adjusted

Forecast OVRSeparate longer-term estimate

Team impactSeparate roster and availability input

2026 PRODUCTION CONTEXT

Talent, opportunity, coaching, and availability kept separate

Devin Bush's central production outlook stays at the evidence-based baseline; tracked context affects uncertainty only. This is a downstream production index, not a rewrite of the 76.7 player OVR.

76.7 base production76.7 context adjusted0.0 context delta69.8-83.6 heuristic planning range

DEFENSIVE COORDINATORDennis Allen. Defensive-coordinator and scheme transition are explicit production uncertainty. No central sack, tackle, coverage, or turnover adjustment is allowed until position-role outcomes clear walk-forward validation.

AVAILABILITY · CLEARNo availability restriction is recorded in the current roster snapshot.

SEASON SCHEDULEThe current season-schedule model is validated only for QB, RB, WR, and TE production planning.

WORKLOAD · NO ACTIVE RECEIPTNo attributable season-long workload restriction is active.

Open context effects and weekly opponent policy

Uncertainty: Opponent scheme, protection, alignment, and likely game script are applied only in weekly forecasts, not silently baked into player OVR.

Position contract: lb-production-context-v1 · coaching gate RESEARCH WITHHELD.

Position coaching driver: Defensive coordinator, base package, coverage assignment, blitz rate, and tackle opportunity.

Season levers: every-down role · package participation · coverage-versus-rush assignment · green-dot role.

Weekly matchup levers: opponent play volume · run rate · middle-field targets · blitz assignment · score state.

Injury and workload levers: sub-package role loss · snap cap · return ramp · teammate tackle vacancy.

Validation state: Public role assignment is not complete enough to convert a DC change into stable individual tackle or coverage production.

Weekly opponent layer: Opponent defense, opposing coordinator, likely score state, venue, weather, and final game designation are recomputed in the weekly projection. They do not rewrite player OVR or this season baseline.

Receipt: player-production-context-v1 · coaching coaching-context-v1 · workload fantasy-workload-context-v2

Devin Bush

What the evidence supports

Current performance comes first

Talent, opportunity, coaching, and availability kept separate

Scouting tags with receipts

Supporting forecast inputs

Model receipt

Position-specific metrics

Opportunity-neutral indicators