21st percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Derrick Brown
Carolina Panthers / LDE / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING81.4B+
POSITION RANK#34of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Quality starter forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form81.0
Player-created value81.4
Next-season projection80.1
Production forecast80.1
Position-relative forecast grade81.4
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2023 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
89th percentile
22nd percentile
85th percentile
78th percentile
48th percentile
76.8 season score881 qualifying plays