8th percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Derrick Barnes
Detroit Lions / LOLB / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING74.3B-
POSITION RANK#57of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Rotation-level forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form74.0
Player-created value74.3
Next-season projection74.4
Production forecast74.4
Position-relative forecast grade74.3
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2023 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
95th percentile
42nd percentile
87th percentile
65th percentile
35th percentile
75.4 season score940 qualifying plays