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DE GRADE RECEIPT

Derrick Barnes

Detroit Lions / LOLB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING74.3B-
POSITION RANK#57of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form74.0
Player-created value74.3
Next-season projection74.4
Production forecast74.4
Position-relative forecast grade74.3

Model receipt

Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Pressures Per 100 Snaps0.745
8th percentile
Snap Pct86.1
95th percentile
Non Sack Tfl Per 100 Snaps0.213
42nd percentile
Tackles Per 100 Snaps8.298
87th percentile
Missed Tackle Pct6.024
65th percentile
Forced Fumbles Per 100 Snaps0
35th percentile
75.4 season score940 qualifying plays