LB GRADE RECEIPT

Christian Elliss

New England Patriots / MLB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING66.2C

POSITION RANK#59of 78 rated LBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastvalidated one-season baseline

Current form72.0

Player-created value66.2

Next-season projection70.6

Production forecast70.6

Position-relative forecast grade66.2

Model receipt

LB production balances tackling, pressure, non-sack disruption, coverage results, breakups, and missed tackles.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the validated one-season baseline because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Tackles Per 100 Snaps14.3

74th percentile

Snap Pct56.5

14th percentile

Passer Rating Allowed106

44th percentile

Missed Tackle Pct7.843

53rd percentile

Pressures Per 100 Snaps0.609

43rd percentile

Non Sack Tfl Per 100 Snaps0

20th percentile

Pass Breakup Rate9.677

54th percentile

Forced Fumbles Per 100 Snaps0.152

61st percentile

66.2 season score657 qualifying plays