DE GRADE RECEIPT

Bradley Chubb

Buffalo Bills / ROLB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING67.3C+

POSITION RANK#71of 86 rated DEs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast

Current form67.0

Player-created value67.3

Next-season projection68.8

Production forecast68.8

Position-relative forecast grade67.3

Model receipt

Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Pressures Per 100 Snaps2.872

44th percentile

Snap Pct71.2

74th percentile

Non Sack Tfl Per 100 Snaps0

24th percentile

Tackles Per 100 Snaps6.136

43rd percentile

Missed Tackle Pct16.1

18th percentile

Forced Fumbles Per 100 Snaps0.261

63rd percentile

72.0 season score766 qualifying plays