85th percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Aidan Hutchinson
Detroit Lions / LDE / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING90.3A
POSITION RANK#11of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
High-end production forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form90.0
Player-created value90.3
Next-season projection87.3
Production forecast87.3
Position-relative forecast grade90.3
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
97th percentile
21st percentile
24th percentile
34th percentile
73rd percentile
90.6 season score1,005 qualifying plays