WR GRADE RECEIPT

Zay Jones

Houston Texans / WR2 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING66.1C

POSITION RANK#108of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form62.0

Player-created value67.8

Next-season projection69.8

Production forecast66.1

Position-relative forecast grade66.1

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2023 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target-0.069

28th percentile

First Down Rate21.9

38th percentile

Targets Per Game7.111

53rd percentile

Yac Above Expectation-0.083

37th percentile

Drop Pct1.600

67th percentile

Air Yards Share17.5

30th percentile

Avg Separation2.479

33rd percentile

61.6 season score64 qualifying plays