WR GRADE RECEIPT

A.J. Brown

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING87.1A-

POSITION RANK#5of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

High-end production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form89.0

Player-created value87.8

Next-season projection83.9

Production forecast87.1

Position-relative forecast grade87.1

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.278

57th percentile

First Down Rate38.8

47th percentile

Targets Per Game8.067

73rd percentile

Yac Above Expectation1.060

70th percentile

Drop Pct0.800

76th percentile

Air Yards Share33.4

65th percentile

Avg Separation2.244

20th percentile

85.9 season score121 qualifying plays