NFSMELL Open app
WR GRADE RECEIPT

Xavier Smith

Los Angeles Rams / WR4 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING75.9B-
POSITION RANK#28of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form76.0
Player-created value75.8
Next-season projection75.6
Production forecast75.9
Position-relative forecast grade75.9

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.914
62nd percentile
First Down Rate45.8
53rd percentile
Targets Per Game1.500
29th percentile
Drop Pct4.200
49th percentile
76.3 season score24 qualifying plays