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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Tyler Johnson

Dallas Cowboys / WR2 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING66.3C
POSITION RANK#106of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form62.0
Player-created value67.6
Next-season projection69.6
Production forecast66.3
Position-relative forecast grade66.3

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2024 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target-0.065
34th percentile
First Down Rate24.4
42nd percentile
Targets Per Game3.727
20th percentile
Drop Pct2.400
58th percentile
62.4 season score41 qualifying plays