WR GRADE RECEIPT

Mecole Hardman Jr.

Buffalo Bills / WR2 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING69.4C+

POSITION RANK#86of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form66.0

Player-created value70.8

Next-season projection72.0

Production forecast69.4

Position-relative forecast grade69.4

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2023 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.030

41st percentile

First Down Rate33.3

47th percentile

Targets Per Game3.429

29th percentile

Drop Pct12.5

42nd percentile

65.9 season score24 qualifying plays