WR GRADE RECEIPT

K.J. Osborn

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING62.6C

POSITION RANK#121of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form56.0

Player-created value64.9

Next-season projection67.7

Production forecast62.6

Position-relative forecast grade62.6

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2023 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.084

33rd percentile

First Down Rate37.3

48th percentile

Targets Per Game5

15th percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.233

41st percentile

Drop Pct6.700

34th percentile

Air Yards Share14.2

21st percentile

Avg Separation3.274

67th percentile

56.4 season score75 qualifying plays