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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Jayden Reed

Green Bay Packers / WR2 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING73.5B-
POSITION RANK#69of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form73.0
Player-created value73.5
Next-season projection73.8
Production forecast73.5
Position-relative forecast grade73.5

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.525
58th percentile
First Down Rate36.4
49th percentile
Targets Per Game4.400
31st percentile
Drop Pct4.500
49th percentile
72.5 season score22 qualifying plays