NFSMELL Open app
WR GRADE RECEIPT

Jalen McMillan

Tampa Bay Buccaneers / WR4 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING63.2C
POSITION RANK#119of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form59.0
Player-created value64.3
Next-season projection67.2
Production forecast63.2
Position-relative forecast grade63.2

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2024 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.175
39th percentile
First Down Rate39.7
51st percentile
Targets Per Game4.462
15th percentile
Yac Above Expectation-0.177
32nd percentile
Drop Pct6.900
39th percentile
Air Yards Share18.4
29th percentile
Avg Separation3.276
64th percentile
58.9 season score58 qualifying plays