WR GRADE RECEIPT

Christian Kirk

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING63.3C

POSITION RANK#118of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form62.0

Player-created value63.1

Next-season projection65.2

Production forecast63.3

Position-relative forecast grade63.3

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target-0.407

28th percentile

First Down Rate23.1

40th percentile

Targets Per Game4.727

16th percentile

Yac Above Expectation-0.249

31st percentile

Drop Pct3.800

50th percentile

Air Yards Share8.289

24th percentile

Avg Separation2.540

41st percentile

54.7 season score52 qualifying plays