WR GRADE RECEIPT

Alec Pierce

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING79.9B

POSITION RANK#12of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form80.0

Player-created value79.8

Next-season projection79.8

Production forecast79.9

Position-relative forecast grade79.9

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.664

77th percentile

First Down Rate48.8

64th percentile

Targets Per Game5.600

20th percentile

Yac Above Expectation1.278

69th percentile

Drop Pct1.200

67th percentile

Air Yards Share37.3

75th percentile

Avg Separation2.075

22nd percentile

88.3 season score84 qualifying plays