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DE GRADE RECEIPT

Za'Darius Smith

Atlanta Falcons / LOLB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING70.8C+
POSITION RANK#64of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form69.0
Player-created value70.8
Next-season projection71.6
Production forecast71.6
Position-relative forecast grade70.8

Model receipt

Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Pressures Per 100 Snaps3.817
55th percentile
Snap Pct38
32nd percentile
Non Sack Tfl Per 100 Snaps0.382
52nd percentile
Tackles Per 100 Snaps7.634
59th percentile
Missed Tackle Pct9.091
47th percentile
Forced Fumbles Per 100 Snaps0
47th percentile
74.5 season score131 qualifying plays