55th percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Za'Darius Smith
Atlanta Falcons / LOLB / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING70.8C+
POSITION RANK#64of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Rotation-level forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form69.0
Player-created value70.8
Next-season projection71.6
Production forecast71.6
Position-relative forecast grade70.8
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
32nd percentile
52nd percentile
59th percentile
47th percentile
47th percentile
74.5 season score131 qualifying plays