WR GRADE RECEIPT

Xavier Hutchinson

Houston Texans / WR2 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v25 Data updated: August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING67.2C+

POSITION RANK#102of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form66.0

Player-created value67.1

Next-season projection69.3

Production forecast67.2

Position-relative forecast grade67.2

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.226

49th percentile

First Down Rate33.3

44th percentile

Targets Per Game3.562

14th percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.547

49th percentile

Drop Pct3.500

51st percentile

Air Yards Share11.4

25th percentile

Avg Separation3.045

62nd percentile

66.0 season score57 qualifying plays