31st percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Sebastian Joseph-Day
Pittsburgh Steelers / DT2 / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING65.4C
POSITION RANK#78of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Below starter baselinevalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form65.0
Player-created value65.4
Next-season projection67.3
Production forecast67.3
Position-relative forecast grade65.4
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
22nd percentile
71st percentile
80th percentile
65th percentile
42nd percentile
66.5 season score449 qualifying plays