K GRADE RECEIPT

Riley Patterson

Miami Dolphins / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING77.2B

POSITION RANK#15of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form71.0

Player-created value77.2

Next-season projection75.7

Production forecast75.7

Position-relative forecast grade77.2

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk69.7

50th percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk91.6

64th percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk96.6

53rd percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk93.3

41st percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game1.706

30th percentile

Long Fg54

28th percentile

77.2 season score64 qualifying plays