WR GRADE RECEIPT

Michael Wilson

Model version: player-forecast-v25 Data updated: August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING71.4C+

POSITION RANK#80of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form71.0

Player-created value70.9

Next-season projection73.2

Production forecast71.4

Position-relative forecast grade71.4

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.204

41st percentile

First Down Rate40.5

54th percentile

Targets Per Game7.412

63rd percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.574

49th percentile

Drop Pct0.800

76th percentile

Air Yards Share31.9

62nd percentile

Avg Separation2.435

31st percentile

77.8 season score126 qualifying plays