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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Mack Hollins

New England Patriots / WR4 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v25 Data updated: August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM EDT
Mack Hollins, New England Patriots WR
NFSMELL RATING71.3C+
POSITION RANK#81of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form71.0
Player-created value71.2
Next-season projection72.3
Production forecast71.3
Position-relative forecast grade71.3

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.418
68th percentile
First Down Rate43.1
57th percentile
Targets Per Game4.643
12th percentile
Yac Above Expectation-0.264
27th percentile
Drop Pct0
68th percentile
Air Yards Share19.2
25th percentile
Avg Separation2.666
46th percentile
71.2 season score65 qualifying plays