43rd percentile
WR GRADE RECEIPT
Luke McCaffrey
Washington Commanders / WR3 / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v25 Data updated: August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING70.4C+
POSITION RANK#83of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form68.0
Player-created value71.3
Next-season projection72.3
Production forecast70.4
Position-relative forecast grade70.4
Model receipt
WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2024 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2024 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
47th percentile
29th percentile
51st percentile
68.1 season score24 qualifying plays