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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Luke McCaffrey

Washington Commanders / WR3 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v25 Data updated: August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM EDT
Luke McCaffrey, Washington Commanders WR
NFSMELL RATING70.4C+
POSITION RANK#83of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form68.0
Player-created value71.3
Next-season projection72.3
Production forecast70.4
Position-relative forecast grade70.4

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2024 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.140
43rd percentile
First Down Rate33.3
47th percentile
Targets Per Game1.846
29th percentile
Drop Pct4.200
51st percentile
68.1 season score24 qualifying plays