WR GRADE RECEIPT

Keon Coleman

Buffalo Bills / WR3 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v25 Data updated: August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING67.9C+

POSITION RANK#98of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form67.0

Player-created value67.8

Next-season projection69.4

Production forecast67.9

Position-relative forecast grade67.9

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.210

47th percentile

First Down Rate44.1

57th percentile

Targets Per Game4.917

14th percentile

Yac Above Expectation-0.397

28th percentile

Drop Pct5.100

45th percentile

Air Yards Share20.6

28th percentile

Avg Separation2.776

51st percentile

64.2 season score59 qualifying plays