WR GRADE RECEIPT

Keenan Allen

Model version: player-forecast-v25 Data updated: August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING74.3B-

POSITION RANK#59of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form74.0

Player-created value74.2

Next-season projection74.5

Production forecast74.3

Position-relative forecast grade74.3

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.286

61st percentile

First Down Rate40.2

53rd percentile

Targets Per Game7.176

58th percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.314

36th percentile

Drop Pct4.900

43rd percentile

Air Yards Share23.4

26th percentile

Avg Separation2.563

35th percentile

74.5 season score122 qualifying plays