WR GRADE RECEIPT

Jaylin Noel

Houston Texans / WR3 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v25 Data updated: August 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING73.1B-

POSITION RANK#69of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form72.0

Player-created value73.3

Next-season projection73.7

Production forecast73.1

Position-relative forecast grade73.1

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.405

61st percentile

First Down Rate37.1

48th percentile

Targets Per Game2.059

23rd percentile

Drop Pct2.900

54th percentile

72.4 season score35 qualifying plays