QB GRADE RECEIPT

Jalen Hurts

Philadelphia Eagles / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING83.6B+

POSITION RANK#10of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Quality starterQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form80.0

Player-created value83.6

Next-season projection81.8

Verified athleticism91.0

Proven NFL resume88.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Postseason evidence is scored separately against regular-season peers and sample-shrunk (2025 7%, 2024 12%, 2023 7% of each season score).

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback0.071

57th percentile

Espn QBR55.2

34th percentile

Total EPA Per Play0.086

49th percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate43.6

38th percentile

Passing CPOE3.157

76th percentile

First Down Rate32.1

49th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate2.058

72nd percentile

Catchable Pass Rate69.8

49th percentile

78.8 season score591 qualifying plays75.0 postseason score