WR GRADE RECEIPT

Greg Dortch

Detroit Lions / WR2 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING66.5C

POSITION RANK#104of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form65.0

Player-created value66.3

Next-season projection68.9

Production forecast66.5

Position-relative forecast grade66.5

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.129

42nd percentile

First Down Rate30.3

44th percentile

Targets Per Game2.750

24th percentile

Drop Pct3

53rd percentile

66.5 season score33 qualifying plays